Santa Clara U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

Santa Clara U23
1-1
Rio Ave U23
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2023/2024

Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara U23 v Rio Ave U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
6.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+150% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +79%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santa Clara U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 and Rio Ave U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 45% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 55%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 45%, draw 30%, Rio Ave U23 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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