Leixoes U23 1-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.53/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/6.00
-73% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -81%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-2
AWAY Farense U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 nicked a narrow win over Leixoes U23 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leixoes U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 48% of the ball to Farense U23's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23?

Leixoes U23 1-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 42%, draw 23%, Farense U23 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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