Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
5.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+150% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / +75%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
26.09.2023 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
2-1
AWAY Estoril U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 squeezed past Estoril U23 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 51% of the ball to Estoril U23's 49%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 33%, draw 31%, Estoril U23 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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