Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
9%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+96% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
3-2
AWAY Benfica U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 squeezed past Benfica U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 46% of the ball to Benfica U23's 54%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 43%, draw 28%, Benfica U23 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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