Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
15%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.7pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Benfica U23
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 5-2 HT 1-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
31.10.2023 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 4-0 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-0
AWAY Benfica U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 nicked a narrow win over Benfica U23 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 43% of the ball to Benfica U23's 57%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 1.00 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 32%, draw 19%, Benfica U23 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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