Sporting CP U23 5-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Benfica U23
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
31.10.2023 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 4-0 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
5-2
AWAY Benfica U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 cruised past Benfica U23 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 57% of the ball to Benfica U23's 43%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting CP U23 5-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 42%, draw 25%, Benfica U23 32%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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