Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.4pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-56% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +93%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 59% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 41%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 41%, draw 30%, Gil Vicente U23 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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