Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Jan 2024

Vizela U23
1-1
Estrela U23
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela U23 v Estrela U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+48% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-1
AWAY Estrela U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 and Estrela U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 44% of the ball to Estrela U23's 56%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 45%, draw 19%, Estrela U23 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vizela U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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