Mafra U23 1-2 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-2
AWAY Leixoes U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 edged past Mafra U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leixoes U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 60% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 40%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Mafra U23 1-2 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 37%, draw 26%, Leixoes U23 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS No
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