Benfica U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 5-2 HT 1-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
31.10.2023 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 4-0 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 and Sporting CP U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 42% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 58%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 4.50 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Benfica U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 36%, draw 27%, Sporting CP U23 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
2 Apr 2024
13:00 Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23 Analysis →
17:00 Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23 Analysis →
17:00 Torreense U23 vs Famalicao U23 Analysis →
17:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 Analysis →
19:00 Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23 Analysis →