Rio Ave U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.02/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.28
+59% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
29.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
1-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 and Portimonense U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Rio Ave U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 41%, draw 33%, Portimonense U23 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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