Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.32/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.49
+2% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estoril U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-5
AWAY Estoril U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 swept aside Gil Vicente U23 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 56% of the ball to Estoril U23's 44%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 31%, draw 26%, Estoril U23 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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