Torreense U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.34
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Famalicao U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 0-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
1-0
AWAY Famalicao U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 nicked a narrow win over Famalicao U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 45% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Torreense U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 32%, draw 26%, Famalicao U23 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao U23), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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