Leixoes U23 1-3 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.04/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
-45% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-3
AWAY Mafra U23
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 got the better of Leixoes U23 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Mafra U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 40% of the ball to Mafra U23's 60%, shots finished 6-24.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23?

Leixoes U23 1-3 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 32%, draw 34%, Mafra U23 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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