Estrela U23 2-3 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
2-3
AWAY Vizela U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 squeezed past Estrela U23 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vizela U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 46% of the ball to Vizela U23's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23?

Estrela U23 2-3 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 31%, draw 25%, Vizela U23 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
2 Apr 2024
13:00 Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23 Analysis →
17:00 Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23 Analysis →
17:00 Torreense U23 vs Famalicao U23 Analysis →
17:00 Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Analysis →
17:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 Analysis →