Santa Clara U23 3-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.92
-27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
135 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
3-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting Braga U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 37% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 63%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Santa Clara U23 3-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 37%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga U23 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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