Rio Ave U23 4-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 3-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
4-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 swept aside Leixoes U23 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rio Ave U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 51% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 49%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.50 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Rio Ave U23 4-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 35%, draw 29%, Leixoes U23 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ BTTS Yes
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