Leixoes U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.4pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
04.03.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 3-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
0-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 edged past Leixoes U23 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 44% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 56%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.67 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Leixoes U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 34%, draw 25%, Rio Ave U23 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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