Gil Vicente U23 3-2 Academico Viseu U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.68/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.36
-60% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
22.08.2023 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-1 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3-2
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Academico Viseu U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Academico Viseu U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Gil Vicente U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 48% of the ball to Academico Viseu U23's 52%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.00 for Academico Viseu U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Gil Vicente U23 3-2 Academico Viseu U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 34%, draw 32%, Academico Viseu U23 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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