Estrela U23 0-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.02/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.52
-31% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
27.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-3 HT 0-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 beat Estrela U23 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 61% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 39%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.50 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Estrela U23 0-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 33%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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