Estoril U23 0-1 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.1pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-59% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Famalicao U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
23.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-1
AWAY Famalicao U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Famalicao U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 46% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 54%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 0.50 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Estoril U23 0-1 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 28%, draw 33%, Famalicao U23 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ BTTS Yes
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