Mafra U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.45/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.00
+1% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Portimonense U23
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
05.11.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
15.04.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 and Portimonense U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mafra U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 58% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 42%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Mafra U23 and 1.40 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Mafra U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 41%, draw 27%, Portimonense U23 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mafra U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✓ Under 2.5
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