Sporting Braga U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.61/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.06
-10% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 3-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
01.04.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 squeezed past Santa Clara U23 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 53% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 2.00 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Sporting Braga U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 51%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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