Arsenal (K) 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
34%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.0pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.7pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.44 xG 0.65
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
552 Passes 209
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2019 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
1-0
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1.26 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
458 Passes 316
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
56 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) edged past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 59% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 41%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 67%, draw 18%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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