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Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) 1-4 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool (K) cruised past Aston Villa (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 56% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.50 to 1.27.
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 1-4 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 54%, draw 22%, Liverpool (K) 24%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.