Sion 3-0 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 Mar 2024

Sion
3-0 HT 0-0
Bellinzona
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Sion vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 24% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sion v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +14%
1.53/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.2 Crosses 12.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Sion vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 0.53
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
288 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV2
04.08.2023 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
19.04.2011 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-2 HT 2-2 Sion Sion İSV
12.02.2011 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
26.09.2010 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
18.07.2010 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV

Sion 3-0 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
3-0
AWAY Bellinzona
2.44 xG 0.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
374 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion cruised past Bellinzona 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sion had 56% of the ball to Bellinzona's 44%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.44 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sion had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sion and 0.67 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Sion vs Bellinzona?

Sion 3-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sion 56%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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