Vaduz 3-2 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 25% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.63/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.91
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
13.2 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.74 xG 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
343 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
03.09.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 6-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
10.04.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
03.02.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
09.10.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
04.09.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-2
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz squeezed past FC Schaffhausen 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vaduz had 57% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 43%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vaduz and 1.50 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs FC Schaffhausen?

Vaduz 3-2 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 41%, draw 25%, FC Schaffhausen 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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