Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.35
No
49%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
70%
-18.6pp
49%
BTTS No
30%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 60%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.00/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-5 HT 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
26.05.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
15.10.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-2 HT 2-2 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.09.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
04.07.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.09.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-1 HT 2-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes edged past Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İA Akranes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.67 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 İA Akranes in the Iceland - League Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated an İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 31%, draw 21%, İA Akranes 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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