Vestri 1-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 3 Mar 2024

Vestri
1-1 HT 0-0
Breidablik
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Vestri vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+11.9pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.0pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-17.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vestri v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 84%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.34/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/0.90
-72% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri and Breidablik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Breidablik at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Breidablik?

Vestri 1-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - League Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vestri 20%, draw 19%, Breidablik 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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