Palestino 0-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Palestino
0-2 HT 0-1
U. Catolica
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2024

Palestino vs U. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palestino v U. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.74
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.5 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Palestino vs U. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.02.2023 U. Catolica 5-2 HT 3-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.07.2022 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
28.02.2022 Palestino Palestino 3-2 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
28.08.2021 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
05.04.2021 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL

Palestino 0-2 U. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
0-2
AWAY U. Catolica
1.17 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
293 Passes 174
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palestino vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica saw off Palestino 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Palestino at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Palestino had 60% of the ball to U. Catolica's 40%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.17 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Palestino and 1.50 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Palestino vs U. Catolica?

Palestino 0-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Palestino 42%, draw 24%, U. Catolica 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palestino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5
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