Union Espanola 1-0 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.21
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.5 Crosses 20.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
24.04.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
30.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-3 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
21.05.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-4 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.01.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
01.11.2020 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
1-0
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
0.53 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 12
270 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola nicked a narrow win over Coquimbo Unido 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Union Espanola made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 47% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 53%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.53 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Espanola and 1.67 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Coquimbo Unido?

Union Espanola 1-0 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 39%, draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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