Anderlecht 1-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.85
X/1
17%
3.53
X/2
6%
17.3
X/X
11%
7.7
2/1
11%
21.3
2/2
9%
13.1
2/X
6%
21.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.43
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.5 Crosses 12.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Eupen
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.97 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
484 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
02.04.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
30.10.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2 HT 2-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
03.03.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 2-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEK
06.02.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 3-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
03.02.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-0
AWAY AS Eupen
1.34 xG 1.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
506 Passes 255
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
44 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht edged past AS Eupen 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anderlecht had 64% of the ball to AS Eupen's 36%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.34 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs AS Eupen?

Anderlecht 1-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 59%, draw 22%, AS Eupen 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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