Genk 0-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Mar 2024

Genk
0-3 HT 0-1
Club Brugge
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Genk vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
9%
5.61
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.6
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.55/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
+12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.5 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Genk vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
28.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
30.04.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.01.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.07.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
20.03.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL

Genk 0-3 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-3
AWAY Club Brugge
1.44 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Genk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Club Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 51% of the ball to Club Brugge's 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.44 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Genk and 1.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Genk vs Club Brugge?

Genk 0-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Genk 34%, draw 31%, Club Brugge 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ BTTS Yes
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