Itapirense vs Matonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Itapirense v Matonense — Team-Based Signals
Itapirense 4-0 Matonense — Actual Match Statistics
Itapirense ran out comfortable winners over Matonense 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Itapirense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Itapirense had 46% of the ball to Matonense's 54%, shots finished 25-6.
What was the final score of Itapirense vs Matonense?
Itapirense 4-0 Matonense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Itapirense vs Matonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Itapirense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Itapirense 49%, draw 25%, Matonense 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Itapirense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.