Rio Preto 1-2 Gremio Prudente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
49%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Preto The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio Prudente The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Preto
1-2
AWAY Gremio Prudente
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rio Preto vs Gremio Prudente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio Prudente squeezed past Rio Preto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Preto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Preto had 41% of the ball to Gremio Prudente's 59%, shots finished 15-17.

What was the final score of Rio Preto vs Gremio Prudente?

Rio Preto 1-2 Gremio Prudente in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Preto vs Gremio Prudente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Preto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rio Preto 43%, draw 24%, Gremio Prudente 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rio Preto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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