Sagrada Esperança 3-0 Abu Salim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.28
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.35
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.3pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagrada Esperança EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Abu Salim EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.19/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagrada Esperança
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abu Salim
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 0.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
267 Passes 308
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
5 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Abu Salim 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagrada Esperança Sagrada Esperança CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagrada Esperança
3-0
AWAY Abu Salim
1.52 xG 0.31
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 5
445 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagrada Esperança vs Abu Salim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagrada Esperança ran out comfortable winners over Abu Salim 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sagrada Esperança as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Sagrada Esperança had 60% of the ball to Abu Salim's 40%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Sagrada Esperança vs Abu Salim?

Sagrada Esperança 3-0 Abu Salim in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagrada Esperança vs Abu Salim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagrada Esperança win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sagrada Esperança 51%, draw 29%, Abu Salim 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagrada Esperança), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagrada Esperança) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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