USM Alger 2-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 3 Mar 2024

USM Alger
2-1 HT 1-0
SuperSport United
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2023/2024

USM Alger vs SuperSport United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v SuperSport United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.39/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.03
-26% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.5 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

USM Alger vs SuperSport United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SuperSport United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.79 xG 1.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
127 Passes 291
58% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 43
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-2 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK

USM Alger 2-1 SuperSport United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-1
AWAY SuperSport United
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger edged past SuperSport United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 45% of the ball to SuperSport United's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs SuperSport United?

USM Alger 2-1 SuperSport United in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 53%, draw 25%, SuperSport United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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