PSIS Semarang 2-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.47/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.09
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
206 Passes 242
25.08.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-1 HT 0-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
04.02.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-2 HT 1-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
18.08.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-1 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
06.02.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
15.10.2021 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 3-0 HT 3-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSIS Semarang
2-1
AWAY Persik Kediri
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIS Semarang squeezed past Persik Kediri 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; PSIS Semarang found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, PSIS Semarang had 44% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 56%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PSIS Semarang had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for PSIS Semarang and 0.60 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Persik Kediri?

PSIS Semarang 2-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 38%, draw 30%, Persik Kediri 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIS Semarang), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSIS Semarang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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