Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.97/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.93
+28% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4W-0D-1L
AWAY PSS Sleman
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 275
13.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-2 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
27.08.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
29.09.2021 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-3 HT 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.10.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-3 HT 1-3 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2-1
AWAY PSS Sleman
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 3
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya nicked a narrow win over PSS Sleman 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 25% of the ball to PSS Sleman's 75%, shots finished 4-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.20 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?

Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 46%, draw 26%, PSS Sleman 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Over 2.5
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