Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
58%
Away Win
77%
-18.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 81%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
0.76/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.90
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
237 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.06.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.09.2022 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
17.08.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-2 HT 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond ran out comfortable winners over Parnu JK Vaprus 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 44% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 56%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 21%, draw 21%, Paide Linnameeskond 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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