Tallinna Kalev 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.71/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.74
+63% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-7 HT 2-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
05.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.05.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
17.09.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-3 HT 0-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
13.08.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-5 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev and JK Tammeka Tartu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tallinna Kalev at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 59% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.83 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Tallinna Kalev 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 41%, draw 26%, JK Tammeka Tartu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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