03/03/2024
·
14:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Orijent 1919 win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
31%
Draw
28%
29%
Away Win
30%
56%
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 2.5
44%
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
49%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orijent 1919 v Radnik Sesvete — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Orijent 1919
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Radnik Sesvete
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
313 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
305 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Orijent 1919 edged past Radnik Sesvete 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Orijent 1919 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete?
Orijent 1919 1-0 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 40%, draw 31%, Radnik Sesvete 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orijent 1919), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Orijent 1919)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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3 Mar 2024