Vukovar vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vukovar v Jarun — Team-Based Signals
Vukovar 0-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics
Jarun edged past Vukovar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Vukovar carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vukovar had 58% of the ball to Jarun's 42%, shots finished 14-7.
What was the final score of Vukovar vs Jarun?
Vukovar 0-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Jarun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 56%, draw 22%, Jarun 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vukovar), Over 2.5 went the other way.