Rijeka 2-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Mar 2024

Rijeka
2-0 HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rijeka v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.52/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.56
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.6 Crosses 11.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
305 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
14.05.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.03.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 3-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
06.11.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-3 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
27.08.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR

Rijeka 2-0 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.26 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
429 Passes 192
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka saw off NK Varazdin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Rijeka had 65% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 35%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.26 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.17 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

Rijeka 2-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 60%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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