Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-2
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) got the better of Omiya Ardija (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day AS Elfen Saitama (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 56% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 38%, draw 30%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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