Urawa Red (K) 1-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
1-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) and INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 58% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 42%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 1-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 50%, draw 27%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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