Junior 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.38/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
14.7 Crosses 12.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.04.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
29.07.2022 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
14.07.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
16.06.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.15 xG 0.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
434 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Junior vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Atletico Nacional played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 64% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.15 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Junior 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Junior 45%, draw 27%, Atletico Nacional 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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