Millonarios 1-2 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
17.0 Crosses 13.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
1W-1D-4L
AWAY La Equidad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
02.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.04.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
31.10.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.02.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.02.2020 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-2
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 xG 1.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
344 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day La Equidad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 60% of the ball to La Equidad's 40%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millonarios and 1.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs La Equidad?

Millonarios 1-2 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 40%, draw 30%, La Equidad 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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