FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

FK Dainava Alytus
0-1 HT 0-1
Zalgiris Vilnius
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
12%
+13.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Dainava Alytus v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
0.61/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.76
-39% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +43%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
20.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
11.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
19.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
07.11.2021 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
29.08.2021 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-4 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 26%, draw 25%, Zalgiris Vilnius 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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