Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day TransINVEST Vilnius made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 40%, draw 27%, TransINVEST Vilnius 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
3 Mar 2024
14:00 FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis →